答案是肯定的啊。
Shreve: "if a trading strategy can turn nothing into something, then it must also run the risk of loss. otherwise, there would be an arbitrage. More specifically, we define arbitrage as a trading strategy that begins with no money, has zero probability of losing money, and has a positive probability of making money."
所以套利一定是无风险的...因为它就是这么被定义的啊...(尴尬脸
您问的是金融市场是否能发生套利哈,答案也是肯定的,我就举个我经历过的很简单的例子:
假设我是一名债券基金经理,今天的交易所隔夜利率(GC001)在下午是0.5%左右(实际上gc001经常一言不合就降到1%以下,并不罕见),而我的某银行的活期账户的活期存款利率是0.89%,于是我非常愉快地把手上所有可质押债券全兑换成标准券质押给交易所借钱,然后咧,再拿借来的钱默默地存到银行(实际上它是直接打到银行账户的),啥也不干,第二天把钱还了,于是我一天之内净赚了(0.89%-0.5%)*量/365这么多的钱,无风险哦!
当然,我的例子不是很严格,因为我没有begins with no money,我需要有钱去买债券然后凭债券做质押才能借来钱,因为GC001为质押式回购,当然,要是这比钱是靠信用借来的,那就是arbitrage了! |