原文发表于美国时间2018-2-9
鉴于周一vix(VX)大幅上涨,以及正在形成和接近完成的三角形(4小时图),今天美国交易时段的关键问题是波动率是否会回升到周一的高点来结束本周的交易,还是因为美国股市反弹回到周三高点而下降。由于今天的三角形可能会走低或者走高,大多数交易者都会在两个方向上等待明确的突破,所以今天的走势远未明朗。由于周RSI和MACD预示下周VIX将会出现更多的上涨(鉴于它们急剧的正向倾斜),日和4小时RSI和随机指标也显示疲软,暗示今天可能有更多VX获利回吐交易。在四小时图的三角形形成之前,我一直处于观望状态,但理想情况下,我会在下跌至绿色区域时做多,并目标下周初的红色区域。如果我是一个波段交易人,我可能会在琥珀色/黄色区域设置一个止损(尽管在我个人的账户里很少隔夜持有,但我设置的止损更窄)。
VIX(CBOE VX Feb18) 周/日/4小时图表
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这篇文章已被翻译成中文。原英文作者Darren Chu,CFA,首席金融分析师(Tradable Patterns创建人)。如英文版本和中文版本之间有任何不一致,以英文版本为准。该文章中的分析仅为提供信息,不是也不应该被视为推销或招揽购买任何证券。文章中讨论的一般市场活动、行业或领域趋势、或其它基于广泛的经济或政治条件的内容,不应被解释为研究结果或投资建议。讨论中提及包括的特定证券、商品、货币、或其它产品均不构成IB推荐购买,出售或持有此类投资的建议。本材料不是也不意图针对个别客户的特定财务条件、投资目标或要求。在根据本材料采取行动之前,您应该考虑是否适合您的具体情况,并在必要时寻求专业建议。
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